US Politics in Trump era Public date: 02.10.2020 20:59:01

Publisher: NYTimes

Author:

25 Jun 2018

What’s the Yield Curve? ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

The bond market’s yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street. Some economists on Wall Street think the economy could be growing at around a nearly 5 percent annualized clip this quarter. But if the current economic vigor is only reflecting a short-term stimulus coming from the Trump administration’s tax cut, then some kind of slowdown is to be expected.
The bond market’s yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done with surprising...

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